How slow will they go (and what about us ...) ?

Former Member
Former Member
If they go back to true regular suits and Jammers, we may never see the times of the last 2 years again - well at least not until they change the rules again.... I went back to look at the World Rankings for 10th Place and 25th place for the last 7 Olympic years. The Olympic years have always been the fastest years (except of course for 2009 - thanks to you know what). I used the 10th and 25th spot to avoid the "freak" factor and good a good average rate of improvement. Also - I used Freestyle to avoid the impact of rule changes and the emergence of dlphin kicks. 1984 50.36 50.93 1988 50.13 50.54 1992 49.83 50.43 1996 49.74 50.27 2000 49.15 49.67 2004 49.08 49.45 2008 47.83 48.5 2009 47.77 48.27 A couple of things jump out: - rate of progress has slowed down to maybe 1 to 2 tenth per Olympic cycle - Big drop in 2000 with arrival of Fastskin suits - about half a second ! and of course a full second and more in 2008. - In a 1996 suit, I would guess the current times to be just a little slower than the 2000 times. They are going to have trials next year for the 2011 Worlds - I am guessing a 49.7 or 49.8 will make the US team in the 100 Free ....
Parents
  • Former Member
    Former Member
    I'm going to roll the dice and predict a 48 mid without the technology. 48 mid for the winner or to make the team ? Popov did a 48.21 in 1994 - all times faster than that were done in some form of full body suit. Here are the results from the 2006 nationals in Irvine -- I think the 2006 full body suits add about half a second -- people should have gotten a little faster, but not half a second - so times should be slower than this ... 1. 5 LEZAK Jason 75 NOVACA 0.70 22.97 48.63 2. 6 WALKER Neil 76 TXLAST 0.78 23.24 49.23 3. 4 JONES Cullen 84 NCSTNC 0.72 23.87 49.35 4. 3 WILDMAN-TOBRINER Benjamin 84 STANPC 0.69 23.35 49.39 5. 2 WEBER-GALE Garrett 85 TXLAST 0.66 23.22 49.46 6. 8 KELLER Klete 82 CW-MI 0.81 23.86 49.81 7. 1 BRUNELLI Nicholas 81 SDA-AZ 0.66 23.37 49.84 8. 7 RITTER Adam 85 FORDAZ 0.74 23.87 49.88
Reply
  • Former Member
    Former Member
    I'm going to roll the dice and predict a 48 mid without the technology. 48 mid for the winner or to make the team ? Popov did a 48.21 in 1994 - all times faster than that were done in some form of full body suit. Here are the results from the 2006 nationals in Irvine -- I think the 2006 full body suits add about half a second -- people should have gotten a little faster, but not half a second - so times should be slower than this ... 1. 5 LEZAK Jason 75 NOVACA 0.70 22.97 48.63 2. 6 WALKER Neil 76 TXLAST 0.78 23.24 49.23 3. 4 JONES Cullen 84 NCSTNC 0.72 23.87 49.35 4. 3 WILDMAN-TOBRINER Benjamin 84 STANPC 0.69 23.35 49.39 5. 2 WEBER-GALE Garrett 85 TXLAST 0.66 23.22 49.46 6. 8 KELLER Klete 82 CW-MI 0.81 23.86 49.81 7. 1 BRUNELLI Nicholas 81 SDA-AZ 0.66 23.37 49.84 8. 7 RITTER Adam 85 FORDAZ 0.74 23.87 49.88
Children
No Data