Lochte may derail Phelps in the IM - but I would not bet on it after the 200 Back.
So then it's up to the 100 Fly, which may be close with Cavic now in the picture - but I saw Phelps going out pretty easy and still almost getting him.
So then the Medley Relay is always a lock for the US - maybe not this time:
Peirsol will probably drop another record or get close.
Hansen will have a lead - but he is not exactly Mr. Confidence right now + *** and Fly are a little scary swimming from the front.
Phelps in the Fly - not sure about Phelps in a relay. I don't think he has ever had to swim a fast relay leg. But my guess is that he will be fast - he is the man.
Lezak in the Free - maybe the best Free anchor out there
- Japan looks good until the Fly and Freestyle
- I think Russia and Great Britain have a hole in the end. France has no Backstroker
- What about the Aussies ? Maybe 0.5 sec out in the Back, then the Breaststroker as good as Hansen on paper. The Flier just dropped to a 51.2 and then it's Lezak against Sullivan.
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this brought up a rather interesting question to me. For the sake of this hypothetical, let's completely ignore the issues of taste and plausibility. Of course crocker would never do this. HOWEVER,
Let's say crocker and phelps go 1-2 in the 100fly. phelps with a 50.45 and crocker goes 50.42. So now it is crocker's right to swim finals. However, he did not swim a time that is much faster than phelps' time, so they can be assumed essentially interchangeable in terms of their impact on the outcome of the medley relay. let's also ignore the possibility of phelps swimming the 100fr in the relay. In this case, crocker would have denied phelps the opportunity to break spitz's record. He would also now have the power to allow phelps to tie it, and reap the benefits of 7 gold medals. or he could say "well i swam the fastest 100fly, and it will be a close race, my country needs me to have the best chance of winning the final". he really doesn't have any reasons to give his spot to phelps other than those of a platonic nature. but phelps has a LOT of $$$ reasons to tie spitz. how much would phelps be willing to pay crocker to give him the spot on the relay, if crocker chose to set up his retirement this olympics? Remember, if phelps gets 7, he gets 1 million from speedo. i'm sure he's bathing in endorsement money as it is, but one can only assume that equalling spitz record will result in further fame and fortune. of course it would be terrible for crocker to do, but my main question is, what is the monetary value of the power crocker holds over phelps? In my estimation, crocker could easily ask for upwards of $1 million for his spot on the relay.
not that this would ever happen, in fact i predict a 1/phelps 2/crocker 3/cavic final in the fly. an interesting question though, no?
this brought up a rather interesting question to me. For the sake of this hypothetical, let's completely ignore the issues of taste and plausibility. Of course crocker would never do this. HOWEVER,
Let's say crocker and phelps go 1-2 in the 100fly. phelps with a 50.45 and crocker goes 50.42. So now it is crocker's right to swim finals. However, he did not swim a time that is much faster than phelps' time, so they can be assumed essentially interchangeable in terms of their impact on the outcome of the medley relay. let's also ignore the possibility of phelps swimming the 100fr in the relay. In this case, crocker would have denied phelps the opportunity to break spitz's record. He would also now have the power to allow phelps to tie it, and reap the benefits of 7 gold medals. or he could say "well i swam the fastest 100fly, and it will be a close race, my country needs me to have the best chance of winning the final". he really doesn't have any reasons to give his spot to phelps other than those of a platonic nature. but phelps has a LOT of $$$ reasons to tie spitz. how much would phelps be willing to pay crocker to give him the spot on the relay, if crocker chose to set up his retirement this olympics? Remember, if phelps gets 7, he gets 1 million from speedo. i'm sure he's bathing in endorsement money as it is, but one can only assume that equalling spitz record will result in further fame and fortune. of course it would be terrible for crocker to do, but my main question is, what is the monetary value of the power crocker holds over phelps? In my estimation, crocker could easily ask for upwards of $1 million for his spot on the relay.
not that this would ever happen, in fact i predict a 1/phelps 2/crocker 3/cavic final in the fly. an interesting question though, no?
