100 Fly Predictions

We have not seen Crocker yet so we really don't know what he is capable of. posted by Skip Thompson We have too seen Crocker. He got second to Rolando Shoeman in the 50 fly and was several tenths of a second off of his best time. He also lost by around 3 tenths of a second to Shoeman as well.....So to me this makes me think Phelps has the edge based on current meet performances....but its not enough to say that Crocker couldn't bounce back and have an awesome record breaking 100 fly. Also remember that Phelps is more of a 200 swimmer than a 100 swimmer...(even if his sprints are faster too). My point is that just becuase Phelps dropps 1.8 seconds in a 200 fly does not necessarily mean he is going to drop 0.9 seconds in a 100 fly. He dropped a little over 0.6 seconds from his best 100 free leading off the 400 free relay....He droped almost 2 seconds off of his best 200 free (I think??). So he did drop a significant amount of time off of his 100 free (Don't get me wrong)....but I don't think it was as much as half of the amount of time that he dropped off of his 200 free (hopefully you see my point? LOL!). So I am going to use this same reasoning to say that he will drop around 0.6 - 0.8 seconds off of his best 100 fly time. So I think Phelps will go somewhere in the 50.4 - 50.6 range in his 100 fly based on this analysis. Of course this is just a guess I admit....(but its not a completely arbitrary guess IMO). As far as Crocker goes:.....based on his 50 fly race earlier this week only (where he was off of his best time by around 0.3 seconds), I am going to guess that he will be off of his world record by around 0.3 - 0.8 seconds...So I think he will go somewhere between 50.7 to 51.2 in his 100 fly....So I predict Phelps will win and be very close to the WR (or just under the WR) and Crocker will be around 0.3 - 0.8 seconds behind Phelps. This is my "official" prediction...(like anyone really cares right LOL!!):rofl: Newmastersswimmer

We have not seen Crocker yet so we really don't know what he is capable of. posted by Skip Thompson We have too seen Crocker. He got second to Rolando Shoeman in the 50 fly and was several tenths of a second off of his best time. He also lost by around 3 tenths of a second to Shoeman as well.....So to me this makes me think Phelps has the edge based on current meet performances....but its not enough to say that Crocker couldn't bounce back and have an awesome record breaking 100 fly. Also remember that Phelps is more of a 200 swimmer than a 100 swimmer...(even if his sprints are faster too). My point is that just becuase Phelps dropps 1.8 seconds in a 200 fly does not necessarily mean he is going to drop 0.9 seconds in a 100 fly. He dropped a little over 0.6 seconds from his best 100 free leading off the 400 free relay....He droped almost 2 seconds off of his best 200 free (I think??). So he did drop a significant amount of time off of his 100 free (Don't get me wrong)....but I don't think it was as much as half of the amount of time that he dropped off of his 200 free (hopefully you see my point? LOL!). So I am going to use this same reasoning to say that he will drop around 0.6 - 0.8 seconds off of his best 100 fly time. So I think Phelps will go somewhere in the 50.4 - 50.6 range in his 100 fly based on this analysis. Of course this is just a guess I admit....(but its not a completely arbitrary guess IMO). As far as Crocker goes:.....based on his 50 fly race earlier this week only (where he was off of his best time by around 0.3 seconds), I am going to guess that he will be off of his world record by around 0.3 - 0.8 seconds...So I think he will go somewhere between 50.7 to 51.2 in his 100 fly....So I predict Phelps will win and be very close to the WR (or just under the WR) and Crocker will be around 0.3 - 0.8 seconds behind Phelps. This is my "official" prediction...(like anyone really cares right LOL!!):rofl: Newmastersswimmer