Lets have some real fun, Olympic predictions. I am starting with the men.
Phelps could win: My predictions for winning times:
100 fly 50.5
200 fly 1:52.5
200 backstroke 1:53.0
200 IM 1:54.0
400 IM 4:04.0
Medley relay USA
I have been following his improvement in breaststroke, he could also be world class in that stroke one day. A couple of 400 IMers are world class in the 200 ***, 2:12 or better. Phelps no longer looses ground to them
Phelps could also swim the 200 free, probably go 1:45.3 but I doubt that would win.
Also the 200 breaststroke will take a 2:07 to win There will be 3 swimmers below 2:10.
The 100 breaststroke will probably go at 58.2, but Moses has a 57.5 in him. All depends on how well he swims. There are at least 5 swimmers who could win the 100. Hardest thing in the world is to swim great on just one day out of many years of training.
Any more predictions from others? I am sure Swim Magazine will have their predictions out soon.
Women, the only prediction I have is the 200 breaststroke:
Amanda at 2:21.2 She is race hardened, she can swim well on any day of the week, any week. World Cup has moved her to another level.
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The guy who swims in prelims WILL be awarded a gold medal, but it would probably be viewed as tainted if it somehow managed to be Phelps 7 gold.
Now for grins let's talk about someone beating the US in the medly. Here is how it could happen:
Weapons of Mass Destruction ARE found in IRAQ and the end of the world is again in question. Another of Hussein's sons takes over IRAQ and takes over the rest of the world, sans the US. Alas the Olmpics are not cancelled but instead it is the US vs IRAQ in everyevent - with IRAQ having all of the elite atheletes in the world.
In the Men's 400 medly relay, the leadoff leg is Matt Welsh, formerly of AUS vs Piersol of the US. THe US has a .2 second of a lead going into breastoke. The breastroke leg is Hanson or Moses vs either Sludnov or Kitajima (depending on who is swimming better for either team). The world team takes the lead by .2 at most. The fly leg is coming up though, and the US has a decided advantage. It's Mike Phelps vs Serdinov of the Ukraine. Phelps beats his counterpart by .5 and now has a .3 second lead. Anchoring the relay for the US is Ian Crocker (this will be the relay for the US - I don't know why it didn't occur to me earlier) and he is swimming against PVDH. VDH the former world record holder gets dusted by the current WRH - crocker and the US wins by over a half second. Okay okay, even though I know that Crocker WILL be the best 100 freestyler he hasn't acheived that status yet, so I will give the world team the victory probably by a half second.
But everyone knows that IRAQ doesn't have WMD so this scenario is impossible.
The false start could happen though, but really no country can match up to the US.
The guy who swims in prelims WILL be awarded a gold medal, but it would probably be viewed as tainted if it somehow managed to be Phelps 7 gold.
Now for grins let's talk about someone beating the US in the medly. Here is how it could happen:
Weapons of Mass Destruction ARE found in IRAQ and the end of the world is again in question. Another of Hussein's sons takes over IRAQ and takes over the rest of the world, sans the US. Alas the Olmpics are not cancelled but instead it is the US vs IRAQ in everyevent - with IRAQ having all of the elite atheletes in the world.
In the Men's 400 medly relay, the leadoff leg is Matt Welsh, formerly of AUS vs Piersol of the US. THe US has a .2 second of a lead going into breastoke. The breastroke leg is Hanson or Moses vs either Sludnov or Kitajima (depending on who is swimming better for either team). The world team takes the lead by .2 at most. The fly leg is coming up though, and the US has a decided advantage. It's Mike Phelps vs Serdinov of the Ukraine. Phelps beats his counterpart by .5 and now has a .3 second lead. Anchoring the relay for the US is Ian Crocker (this will be the relay for the US - I don't know why it didn't occur to me earlier) and he is swimming against PVDH. VDH the former world record holder gets dusted by the current WRH - crocker and the US wins by over a half second. Okay okay, even though I know that Crocker WILL be the best 100 freestyler he hasn't acheived that status yet, so I will give the world team the victory probably by a half second.
But everyone knows that IRAQ doesn't have WMD so this scenario is impossible.
The false start could happen though, but really no country can match up to the US.
