Lets have some real fun, Olympic predictions. I am starting with the men.
Phelps could win: My predictions for winning times:
100 fly 50.5
200 fly 1:52.5
200 backstroke 1:53.0
200 IM 1:54.0
400 IM 4:04.0
Medley relay USA
I have been following his improvement in breaststroke, he could also be world class in that stroke one day. A couple of 400 IMers are world class in the 200 ***, 2:12 or better. Phelps no longer looses ground to them
Phelps could also swim the 200 free, probably go 1:45.3 but I doubt that would win.
Also the 200 breaststroke will take a 2:07 to win There will be 3 swimmers below 2:10.
The 100 breaststroke will probably go at 58.2, but Moses has a 57.5 in him. All depends on how well he swims. There are at least 5 swimmers who could win the 100. Hardest thing in the world is to swim great on just one day out of many years of training.
Any more predictions from others? I am sure Swim Magazine will have their predictions out soon.
Women, the only prediction I have is the 200 breaststroke:
Amanda at 2:21.2 She is race hardened, she can swim well on any day of the week, any week. World Cup has moved her to another level.
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Great thread going here.
How about a 4 x 200 free of
Phelphs leading off with a 1:45.5
Peirsol with a 1:47.0 and possible 1:46.5
KKeller, or Dusing with a 1:47+
J Davis anchoring with a 1:45.8 ( he can do it on a relay)
I think Josh is our best relay swimmer ever.
The 100 fly used to be our weakest event, from 1990 to 2000. The aussies always had someone at least one second better. Made the relay a tough event, easy now as we should have a 2 second lead or more going into the freestyle.
Now it is a strong event for USA, the two fastest times ever. No one in the USA would mind if Crocker beats Phelphs in the fly, as long as he sets a new world record and beats everyone else. It is crazy to predict a 50.5, used to be no-one went out as fast as 24.0, that means coming back in 26.5. That is almost negative splitting, considering a start is worth 2 seconds over a pushoff. Still Crocker did 50.9, and it will take faster than that to beat a rested Phelphs. So I am sticking with the 50.5.
No one has mentioned the 4:04 IM, that time is so mind boggleing, the splits are so fast. He is going to have to be 1:54 or better at the 200 mark, do a 1:08-10 in the breaststroke. Used to be a 1:12 was a great *** spilt for the 400 IM.
Now the 200 back is a tough race, all Peirsol is a world record holder. But he will have to break his own record to get second to
Phelphs. As much as I would live to see Lenny in the backstroke, I don't think it will happen. The other two are just too fast. If Phelphs wind this, it will be sub 1:54. Every time he swims this event he drops two seconds. This could be his best event.
Great thread going here.
How about a 4 x 200 free of
Phelphs leading off with a 1:45.5
Peirsol with a 1:47.0 and possible 1:46.5
KKeller, or Dusing with a 1:47+
J Davis anchoring with a 1:45.8 ( he can do it on a relay)
I think Josh is our best relay swimmer ever.
The 100 fly used to be our weakest event, from 1990 to 2000. The aussies always had someone at least one second better. Made the relay a tough event, easy now as we should have a 2 second lead or more going into the freestyle.
Now it is a strong event for USA, the two fastest times ever. No one in the USA would mind if Crocker beats Phelphs in the fly, as long as he sets a new world record and beats everyone else. It is crazy to predict a 50.5, used to be no-one went out as fast as 24.0, that means coming back in 26.5. That is almost negative splitting, considering a start is worth 2 seconds over a pushoff. Still Crocker did 50.9, and it will take faster than that to beat a rested Phelphs. So I am sticking with the 50.5.
No one has mentioned the 4:04 IM, that time is so mind boggleing, the splits are so fast. He is going to have to be 1:54 or better at the 200 mark, do a 1:08-10 in the breaststroke. Used to be a 1:12 was a great *** spilt for the 400 IM.
Now the 200 back is a tough race, all Peirsol is a world record holder. But he will have to break his own record to get second to
Phelphs. As much as I would live to see Lenny in the backstroke, I don't think it will happen. The other two are just too fast. If Phelphs wind this, it will be sub 1:54. Every time he swims this event he drops two seconds. This could be his best event.
