Ok, so the more they email me, the more I get nervous about the water temp. Last year it was 69 which stung to get in, but it made for a nice swimming temp. By the end, though, my fingers and toes felt a little numb, but that could have been tired (??).
But this year, it could be up to 10 degrees colder?! What to do when the coolest water I can find here in Cincinnati is 80?
Name, Pace per 100 for the 1650, pace per 100 at Big Shoulders.
I think you've got the second and third columns reversed here (edit: OK, lefty fixed this). And, of course, one column is pace per 100 yards and the other is pace per 100 meters. On a percentage basis, here's how much slower each of these swimmers' pace was at Big Shoulders than in their best 2009 1650: 3, 21, 21, 17, 15, 15, 15, 17, 13. Purely based on the difference in length between yards and meters the expected difference would be 9%.
Come on Kirk(!) you know better than that. When Alan Bell beat you last year you averaged 25:35 per mile. This year you averaged 22:57 per mile. You used this years mile times, and last years race results. All things being equal Alan Bell cannot beat you in an open water swim
Last year's event was against a headwind, though, so everyone was slower. Yeah, it's too bad he didn't swim this year for a better comparison. Anyway, I'm not sure I agree with your conclusion. Alan has beaten me enough in open water that it can't just be a fluke!
Name, Pace per 100 for the 1650, pace per 100 at Big Shoulders.
I think you've got the second and third columns reversed here (edit: OK, lefty fixed this). And, of course, one column is pace per 100 yards and the other is pace per 100 meters. On a percentage basis, here's how much slower each of these swimmers' pace was at Big Shoulders than in their best 2009 1650: 3, 21, 21, 17, 15, 15, 15, 17, 13. Purely based on the difference in length between yards and meters the expected difference would be 9%.
Come on Kirk(!) you know better than that. When Alan Bell beat you last year you averaged 25:35 per mile. This year you averaged 22:57 per mile. You used this years mile times, and last years race results. All things being equal Alan Bell cannot beat you in an open water swim
Last year's event was against a headwind, though, so everyone was slower. Yeah, it's too bad he didn't swim this year for a better comparison. Anyway, I'm not sure I agree with your conclusion. Alan has beaten me enough in open water that it can't just be a fluke!
