Predict my time?

I don't know how helpful this will be for you, but here are my times from two years ago when I swam all the freestyle distances except the 1500 m. This was at Colony Zones LCM championships: 50-- 27.9 100-- 1:01.63 200-- 2:19.39 400-- 5:03.27 800-- 10:41.99 double 50 and add 3 sec = 100 double 100 and add 16 sec = 200 double 200 and add 21 sec = 400 double 400 and add 34 sec = 800 so...my prediction for you.... double 1:28 and add 20 seconds = 3:14 for your 200 (adding more time because your base is slower than mine) double 3:14 and add 30 seconds = 6:58 for your 400 double 6:58 and add 40 seconds = 14:36. This is just ball parking it. If you are a distance swimmer by nature, and the difference between an all out sprint 100 and a moderate 100 is not that big a time increase, you will probably do better than a 14:36. If, however, you aren't in pretty good shape, you may find that a 14:36 is hard to achieve. Let us know how you do! I am willing to bet, however, that my 14:36 prediction is going to be a lot closer to you race time than Sr. Stillwater's 12 minutes. By the way, Stillwater: did you chose your name because of the chestnut about waters running deep, or because there is a prison outside the Twin Cities known as Stillwater?

12 minutes

I am willing to bet, however, that my 14:36 prediction is going to be a lot closer to you race time than Sr. Stillwater's 12 minutes. yes, but the contestant who guesses closer to to the actual time "without going over" walks away with the his and hers samsonite luggage package.

i like Jim's format to youe time .

If I used my 50 free to generate a base rating, then there is significant drift as I select longer events. My 50 rating generates a time .8 sec faster than my best for 100, 6 seconds faster than my best for 200, etc.. And this surprises you...? :)

Using the calculator I get 77.2, 74.3, and 67.5 resp for the 50, 100, and 200 SCY. I can assume that if I did a 500 my rating would be 67.5 or lower.

It depends, each swimmer is different, there are no hard and fast formula's We need to see how more of your times compare: Swim the following fast for time: 50 100 200 500 give us those & we can make fairly accurate guesses It all depends on: + What you are, (sprinter, middle distance, or distance) + How you've trained in the past, + How you've been training recently + How you split your races So we need more data, all we have is one point of reference if you look at one swimmers 50 paces for the following swims 50 fr 100 fr 200 fr 500 fr 400 fr 1000 fr 800 fr 1650 fr 1500 fr 3000 fr 5000 fr 10,000 fr each swimmer's times plots a line

And this surprises you...? :) Nope, not a bit. Just pointing out that YMMV. But if I use the rating from my 200 as my base, then my 100 and 50 are phenomenal in comparison.

But if I use the rating from my 200 as my base, then my 100 and 50 are phenomenal in comparison. By golly, you're right. Just to make you feel good about yourself: you should do a 200 fly, and then apply the resulting rating to your 50 fly. :bolt:

By golly, you're right. Just to make you feel good about yourself: you should do a 200 fly, and then apply the resulting rating to your 50 fly. :bolt: Hmm, I think you might need to modify the time entry field and add the next larger unit of time, just to be safe, add the next two please. My daughter looked me in the eye after doing the 200 Fly for the 2nd time this Sunday and said 'so, when are YOU swimming the 200 Fly, Dad?' I'm not sure I'm ever going to and if I somehow have a complete lapse of sanity, I'm not sure I'd be able to beat her 3:22.