If the new regulations are put into effect basically limiting swimmers to knee skins, what world records will last the longest?
I think the 50 free for men and 400 free for women. I could see the 50 free lasting for 25 years. The 400 free for maybe, I dont know, 50 years?!?!?
Since the new suits can be worn until Jan 1, I wonder how many people will be going for WRs until that time?
Also: everyone is assuming that some version of fast-suits will never return. I would like to think so but wouldn't bet the farm on it.
I also think the women's times will be affected less than the men by the new rules. First of all, there are studies that seem to show that they were aided less by the tech suits (at least up to the LZR) than the men. Secondly, they can still have coverage from shoulders to knees, which isn't too bad. I bet even with the "textile" (and zipperless? I forget) restriction the suit manufacturers can come up with some pretty fast suits.
British Swimming is starting to panic - BIG STYLE!
They fear that not one world record will fall at the 2012 Olympics.
Has there ever been an olympics in the modern era in which no swimming WR's were set?
For the Men - the 50 Free will be untouchable for a very very long time.
For the women, the sprint Frees are also very fast -- the 200 and 400 Free as well, but I always think that Evans went 4:03 twenty years ago - so somebody should be to swim 3:59 at some point (without aid).
But I am gonna pick the 200 IM for the women. I believe no female has ever gone below 2:10 without a speedsuit (or doping ... Chinese). It will be interesting to see the times in this event next year, but if the suits are all regular textile, they still may not break 2:10 and that's a long way to 2:06 ...
The record for most world records set in a single swim meet (was it 41 or 42?) will also stand up...unless they relaunch the suits just before 2012 Olys to create additional excitement.
Bousquet's 50 free, because it's so much faster than Popov (who was untouchable for a good stretch there), and because of physics. The faster you're going, the more a low-drag suit should help. Men's 50 is as fast as they get.
So, assuming that FINA doesn't change their stance again, what are the changes of the FS Pro Jammer still be legal on/after Jan. 1,2010?
Did anyone else notice that Jaked does produce a jammer? Doubt it will be legal if it is made with the same material as their fullbody though.
96 was a really dry year -- Many of the new records have been the result of the improvments in dolphin kicks and rule changes.
The Freestyle records seem to have had much more longevity compared to all the strokes. It goes Jager to Popov to Tech suits /// or Biondi to Hoogenband to Tech suits // East German to Van Almsick to Pelligrini / Evans to Manaudou .
I think we are close to running out of rule changes, but there still seems to be some room for a new generation of kids that grew up learning the dolphin kicks as youngsters.
On the other hand some of the psychological barriers may have now fallen ... it may have never occurred to 100 Fliers to shoot for a sub 50 sec or sub 52 for a 100 Back ...
If they go really "old-school", we will see 5 or less records in 2012... just my guess.