Not too conversational here, I hope for a change. Anyway, I study demograhic changes and the United States and Western Europe is aging. One cliam is that Italy with a low birth average age is going to be 57 in 2025. So, that means that regular swimming for those in age group or elite swimming will have less competitors,while master swimming will have more because more people will be in many countries average ages in the 40's to 50's.What do you think?.
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Oh great, here I am thinking I was an average swimmer and now I find out that I am below average (white male, but not yet 40).
Averages are one thing - actual numbers are different, and when looking at your talent pool I would say its actual numbers to recruit from that will make the diference not averages. If an area kept its birthrate constant but the areas life expectancy continued to increase, they would still have the same number of young the diference would be the increase in the number of older which would cause the average age to rise, the only actual change in numbers would be that of the 50, 60, 70, 80, 90, 100+ age groups (depending on where you started with your life expectancy) not the number of younger age group. As for age affecting performance if you looked at the average age of the 2000 US Olympic swim team it would probably be higher than that of the say 1996. (If true) that would be because the number of swimmers stayed constant (roughly) but were older than those in 1996, yet we still had a pretty impressive showing.
Oh great, here I am thinking I was an average swimmer and now I find out that I am below average (white male, but not yet 40).
Averages are one thing - actual numbers are different, and when looking at your talent pool I would say its actual numbers to recruit from that will make the diference not averages. If an area kept its birthrate constant but the areas life expectancy continued to increase, they would still have the same number of young the diference would be the increase in the number of older which would cause the average age to rise, the only actual change in numbers would be that of the 50, 60, 70, 80, 90, 100+ age groups (depending on where you started with your life expectancy) not the number of younger age group. As for age affecting performance if you looked at the average age of the 2000 US Olympic swim team it would probably be higher than that of the say 1996. (If true) that would be because the number of swimmers stayed constant (roughly) but were older than those in 1996, yet we still had a pretty impressive showing.
