Handicapping Lochte-Phelps 200 IM Odds

Phelps owned the 200 IM for years. Lochte beat him, and took the World Record, at last year's world championships. Ryan Lochte NEW World Record 200m Individual Medley - YouTube In the process, Lochte became the first person to set a LCM world record in the post-tech suit era. Only one other WR has fallen since--the Chinese guy who beat Hackett's 1500 m record. In the course of writing up an article on Lochte for Men's Health, I asked him and some of his coach's about the Lochte-Phelps rivalry, and I didn't get terribly far. What I need is a knowledgable source (or sources) who can discuss their respective odds objectively and be willing to be quoted. Perhaps a world class coach who has no ties to either one? Any suggestions? In the meantime, what do you guys think? Who has the edge in terms of each stroke? Phelps better in fly? Lochte better in back? It seemed in their race at World's, Lochte gained some in ***? But was this just a fluke? Equal in free? What about speed vs. endurance? Phelps isn't swimming the 400 IM, right? But he was always noted more for 200-400 greatness, a bit less for all out sprinting (with the exception, maybe, of the 100 fly)? Isn't Lochte the same way? Which of the two has more sprinting speed? What about endurance? At this level, what is the 200 IM considered--a long sprint or a short mid-D race? What about mental attitude? Now that Lochte has emerged from Phelps' shadow in a top level competition, do you think he's ever going back? Was last year's Worlds a fluke for Phelps or a genuine changing of the guard? Any insights would be tremendously appreciated!