risk

For example, despite the massive knowledge accrued over the past 100 years regarding OW swims in the English Channel where safety plans and implementations are second-to-none, sometimes it just happens. www.dover.uk.com/channelswimming since inception, the risk for soloists seems to be about 1 in 300 crossings (6 per 1700) in 'modern times', the risk seems to be about the same, 1 in 290 crossings (4 per 1160) one could argue that the risk is about half of that, or 1 in 600 attempts, because the success rate ballparks somewhere around 50%. a better stat might be risk per "hour in the channel", or risk according to "hour into the swim". number of crossings: since 1985: 1160 = 171 + 592 + 255 + 142 2010's: 171 = 77 + 94 2000's: 592 = 92 + 87 + 83 + 64 + 75 + 44 + 52 + 42 + 28 + 25 1990's: 255 = 25 + 23 + 32 + 25 + 27 + 39 + 22 + 28 + 13 + 21 1980's: 241 = 28 + 38 + 36 + 21 + 19 + 18 + 25 + 22 + 19 + 15 Like any extreme sport, Channel swimming has risks attached to it, and over the years seven swimmers have died while attempting the swim. 1926 Rodriguez de Lara Rodriguez de Lara, from Spain, was believed to have become the first person to drown while making a Channel swim attempt. 1954 Edward J May On 8 September 1954, lone Englishman Edward J May is reported to have set off from Cap Gris Nez to swim to England, but without a pilot boat and against official advice. His body was found weeks later washed up in Holland. 1984 Kumar Anandan Sri Lankan swimmer Kumar Anandan, 36, died while making his attempt. At the subsequent inquest, Coroner Richard Sturt recommended that anyone making an attempt to swim the Channel should produce a fitness certificate. Since then all swimmers have been told they must produce a medical certificate. 1988 Renata Agondi Brazilian swimmer Renata Agondi, 25, from San Paulo, died on 23 August 1988 about eight miles off the French coast while swimming from Dover. There had been a dispute on board the escort ship about who had the final responsibility for ending a swim. As a result, guidelines were drawn up setting down a chain of command, ensuring that the pilot was the person who made the final decision about whether a swimmer should remain in the water. 1999 Fausta Marin Moreno Mexican swimmer Fausta Marin Moreno drowned during a swim from England to France on 20 August 1999. 2001 Ueli Staub On 11 August 2001, Swiss swimmer Ueli Staub, 37, disappeared from view when he was about a mile off the French coast having swum for 16 hours from Dover. His body was found six days later, in the sea near Ostende. 2012 Páraic Casey Páraic Casey, a member of the Sandycove Swimming Club in Cork, Ireland began his swim at 9.13am on Saturday 21 July 2012 and became ill at around 1:30 in the morning of 22 July 2012, just 1km from the coast of France. Attempts to resuscitate him by crew on the boat and medics flown in by a French rescue helicopter were unsuccessful.