Not too conversational here, I hope for a change. Anyway, I study demograhic changes and the United States and Western Europe is aging. One cliam is that Italy with a low birth average age is going to be 57 in 2025. So, that means that regular swimming for those in age group or elite swimming will have less competitors,while master swimming will have more because more people will be in many countries average ages in the 40's to 50's.What do you think?.
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Former Member
Much of the children increase in US population is thanks to immirgation. The average non-hispanic white is 40 years old in most places in the us but the average hispanic is around 25 years. So hispanics are more at the prime childbearing years. In case anyone has not notice there is absence of asian and hispanics at the top levels of swimming. In the case of some asians it might be the case of physical size and interest. There has been Michelle Kwan in figure skating but no recent swimminer of asian descent I can think of has made it at the top levels. Hispanics, on the other hand, it might have to do with economics. Upper middle class hispanics such as Pablo Morales made it to the olympics. But poorer hispanics with more of an indian background also tend to be shorter as well as lack money. Anyway, the US has a slightly higher birthrate among the native born and a high rate among some immirgrant groups compared to Europe By 2025, a lot of the kids will look like Pablo Morales in California rather than Ms N. Couglin, so getting more hispanics in the sport will help. Europeans have low birthrates except of course the immirgants in their countries too but witout high immirgantion the Europeans will eventually lose populaton probably by the middle of the 21st century. As for Europe I think swmming will suffer at the younger levels because of a lack young people. In the United States it depends upon how hispanics and asians and some blacks become involved with the sport at a higher level because the non-hispanic whites will make more and more of the older population and less of the younger as time goes by.
Much of the children increase in US population is thanks to immirgation. The average non-hispanic white is 40 years old in most places in the us but the average hispanic is around 25 years. So hispanics are more at the prime childbearing years. In case anyone has not notice there is absence of asian and hispanics at the top levels of swimming. In the case of some asians it might be the case of physical size and interest. There has been Michelle Kwan in figure skating but no recent swimminer of asian descent I can think of has made it at the top levels. Hispanics, on the other hand, it might have to do with economics. Upper middle class hispanics such as Pablo Morales made it to the olympics. But poorer hispanics with more of an indian background also tend to be shorter as well as lack money. Anyway, the US has a slightly higher birthrate among the native born and a high rate among some immirgrant groups compared to Europe By 2025, a lot of the kids will look like Pablo Morales in California rather than Ms N. Couglin, so getting more hispanics in the sport will help. Europeans have low birthrates except of course the immirgants in their countries too but witout high immirgantion the Europeans will eventually lose populaton probably by the middle of the 21st century. As for Europe I think swmming will suffer at the younger levels because of a lack young people. In the United States it depends upon how hispanics and asians and some blacks become involved with the sport at a higher level because the non-hispanic whites will make more and more of the older population and less of the younger as time goes by.
